Reliability is FINE (Fix it NOW! Emergency!)

Why isn’t Cadillac or GM’s vehicle reliability better than it is?  Okay, Cadillac has been having good survey results in initial and four-year quality.  I get that quality and reliability have improved, and that they are near the top of the automobile industry.  But why aren’t they better than they are?

Cadillac’s Dealers are independent operations.  Every warranty repair on every GM vehicle is entered into the Dealer database, so that a claim can be made to GM for the warranty repair.  These warranty repairs cost GM Millions of dollars a year in lost, wasted cost, and decreased customer satisfaction.

Why can’t GM simply analyze this warranty data, determine what parts are having reliability problems, change the design or the supplier, and have reliable parts?

The warranty database currently has information from various sources. The PRTS+ database has information that the GM engineers have entered with regards to problems that they have detected. The QWIK database has problems that dealership mechanics have entered with regards to customer complaints and their root cause of a single vehicle.

But THINK about the systems that we have available in Cadillacs right now.  The vehicles themselves have thorough self-diagnostics.  They also have snapshot capability, as well as GPS and OnStar satellite communication.  The second a diagnostic trouble code goes off in any Cadillac anywhere in the world, a signal should be sent via OnStar, and a red light and warning siren should sound at the Cadillac factory at Lansing Grand River.  Immediately the cause of the problem should be diagnosed, identified, and resolved.

OnStar:  “This is OnStar. We have detected a problem with your vehicle; is that correct?”

Customer:  “Uh, I see a red light on the dash, yeah”

OnStar:  “Thank you.  I have made a reservation at the nearest Cadillac Dealer. I am downloading the turn by turn navigation to get you there.  I have alerted them that you are enroute, and your Service Expert will be Michelle.  She is awaiting your arrival.  I have a Cadillac Engineer standing by to review the Technician’s report as soon as it is ready, and we will get you on your way.  Do you want me to stay on the line while you drive to the Dealer?”

This 52 page thesis from Jelani Ellington for MIT in 2005 addressed some internal roadblocks that GM has that keep it from harvesting the flow of valuable information: [Thesis paper]

GM’s approach:

Engineers at GM pull data from the warranty database to see failure trends. This warranty is segregated by vehicle line. The warranty data is further segregated via labor codes. The data is then placed in two Pareto charts. One chart is based upon cost per vehicle (CPV) while the other chart is based upon incidents per thousand vehicles (IPTV). The charts are then used to determine which vehicle warranty problem to work on first. There is no one method that is used across the organization. Some vehicle lines use cost per vehicle to work on problems first whereas other use incidents per thousand vehicles to determine which problems to address first. The only common thread is that all vehicle lines place safety issues above either cost or frequency.

Fail: This process seems to have FAIL written throughout.  It lacks immediacy, and depends on the Customer experiencing the problem, debating it with the Dealer, and many customers together becoming dissatisfied before an issue gels together to be bad enough for the Engineers to identify it months later as a problem.  FAIL.

Success: Every time a problem comes up in every car, a light should go off at Cadillac and an on-call Engineer respond.

Once the management team decides which failure to be worked on, GM assigns a warranty engineer to fix the problem.

Fail:  only fix things after you make a lot of customers unhappy

Success: fix every customer’s problem

After the failure is found, the engineers use the RedX procedure. Engineers are given 30 days to root cause an assigned failure.

During the solution phase of a problem, the warranty engineer informs the Designing Engineer of the root cause of the problem. The design engineer then, likewise, has up to 30 days to come up with a solution to the problem.

Implementation is the part of the process where the solution is carried out. Implementation time varies greatly. Implementation time can be of a very short duration or can span a period until the next model year.

The final phase of the PRTS+ process is feedback. Feedback is due no later then 180 days after implementation. Feedback is design to close the loop and make sure that the new design is working properly or to maximum efficiency.

Fail: no immediacy; every 30 days Cadillac will have sold another 15K vehicles, and enraged another group of Customers

Success:  This step is what engineers do BEST.  Identify the problem to them, and let them analyze it.  But move the Engineers back up to the START of the problem.

In the current GM Warranty system, “a minimum of 92 days will pass before a problem that a customer experiences becomes known at General Motors“.  FAIL.

At General Motors, design engineers do not have access to the warranty database. FAIL.

If all diagnostic trouble codes that were set on any GM vehicle, along with a DTC snapshot, were reported automatically to a central database, the Reliability Engineers can cut months and Customer frustration out of the picture.  “Ninety percent of General Motors’ warranty problems are solved by reproducing the failure with GM vehicles or in GM plants.”  Give the Warranty Engineers the info on what faults are happening, in real time as they happen.

The paper concludes:

There exists a wide variety of time to discover defects in the field. Reducing the measurable standard deviation of time from introduction of a vehicle to the field to assigning engineer for root cause of a problem to implementation of the solution is the key to solving the problem. There is not real time data transfer from the field to the corporation. If this link did exist, the corporation could fix these problems almost as soon as they occurred instead of months later. To successfully fix the issues, General Motors must become a part of the global telematics market and increase its capability to receive live data. General Motors must also work on their internal issues and conflicts as well. General Motors must also think holistically when solving its problems. General Motors tunnel vision approach to warranty obviously is not working. Warranty elimination is a process that must be a corporate-wide issue and not a departmental or organizational issue. If General Motors is to survive and thrive in the coming decades, then they must minimize their mean time to failure discovery for the sake of warranty costs, which go directly to the bottom line, and for the sake of perceived quality.

Operate as an agile, responsive organization.  Give the Engineers the real-time information they need, then them loose and let make the great cars they are capable of making.

Caddyinfo Twitter Updates for 2009-12-02

  • RT @PhotoBen750: I uploaded a YouTube video — Cadillac Converj concept – SF Auto Show 2009: Pimped Ad http://bit.ly/88FHGJ #
  • RT @vipcaddymates: charitybuzz | #5100127 – Las Vegas Golf-a-GANSa! http://bit.ly/7N2iGq #
  • RT @GMblogs: Busy day here at #GM – live twitter coverage of #GM Nov sales at ~2pm ET – Follow @GMblogs @jordanast @annalisabluhm #gmsales #
  • Good article., thanks. RT @MarionChapsal: Are You Networking or Self-Promoting ? http://bit.ly/4QbzoE #
  • RT @GMNewsUS: Cadillac CTS Wins Car And Driver Magazine's Highest Award For The 3rd Consecutive Year : DETROIT http://cli.gs/B50Ue #
  • Cadillac ad from Vogue Nov 1972 RT @twot: The Cadillac Woman: http://bit.ly/7R2AjO #
  • @GMCustomerSvc 2005 SRX dashpad issue http://caddyinfo.ipbhost.com/index.php?showtopic=24601 #
  • RT @ModelSupplies: Four Things 50 Cent Can Teach You About Connecting with Your Audience http://bit.ly/6iSo7a via @CopyBlogger #
  • @GMCustomerSvc thanks; I love my helm's shop manuals and the pc version. Wanted to share the dashpad cracking concern. in reply to GMCustomerSvc #
  • RT @AndrewsNash: http://ow.ly/HzTx Watch how easy it is to us the nav system in the 2009 Cadillac CTS, 10 CTS Sport Wagon and 10 SRX. #
  • RT @VelocityOfSound: Dallas oilman is powering up to break 409-mph record on Bonneville Salt Flats http://bit.ly/7LRpBi #
  • RT @brassfield: The [Cadillac] CTS Coupe is freakin' gorgeous in person, pics don't do it justice #
  • RT @WebAndFlo: Good pic of new Cadillace CTS coupe & wagon! RT @nsap: http://twitpic.com/rqehx – the cadillac salon event #
  • RT @napratscher: #Gmsales: Avg transaction prices in Nov 09 up $3157 compared to Nov 08 and outperforming industry (JD Power PIN data). #
  • I think it will do very well with a wide audience. RT @DA_BUG: @caddyinfo yeah that cts coupe is off the chain!! niceeee! #
  • maybe ATS conv tho? RT @REALGMI: Too bad! RT @insideline_com: Cadillac exec just confirmed: No CTS conv. "Nope," he said. #
  • RT @GMblogs: GM board of directors accepts resignation of Fritz Henderson as Dir, Pres and CEO of the company. Ed Whitacre to be interim CEO #
  • Cadillac info: http://bit.ly/87cDduRT @UofMPreacher: RT @asterley1123: Did anyone know that cadillac made shoes?!?!(yeeeeeessssss) #
  • RT @pjstrifas: I favorited a YouTube video — The Vette Doctors build the fastest CTS V in the country.wmv http://bit.ly/8k9k3t #
  • RT @amylitt: Cadillac's Identity Crisis: When Branding Won't Die – First it was the car for drivers between the age … http://ow.ly/165QtF #
  • Crystal Red Tintcoat should definitely be available! RT @drakeshipway: Sexiest. Car. Ever. http://bit.ly/4EnaFT #Cadillac #CTS #coupe #red #
  • Looks like it is coming along well! RT @Motoriginal: Link: Porsche 944 Third Step: Body Work http://tumblr.com/xou4e7a22 #
  • Yes, I think the Designers get to name the colors; they are often very creatively named. RT @Gurdonark: crystal red tintcoat sounds like #
  • @UofMPreacher I heard you tweet Cadillac which is one of my favorite topics. in reply to UofMPreacher #
  • RT @raywert: RT @AOLAutos A very rushed Bob Lutz was on our DTW – LAX flight, with three GM PR guys who met him at baggage. Go, Bob, go! #

Powered by Twitter Tools

Nov09 Sales: Lexus up 14%, Cadillac up 10%, BMW up 3%

General Motors announced today that Cadillac US sales for November were mixed again:

GM Vehicle Deliveries by Marketing Division
2009 2008 %Chg Volume %Chg per S/D 2009 2008 %Chg Volume
Buick Total 8,627 7,516 14.8 24.8 90,069 128,288 -29.8
Cadillac Total 9,721 8,815 10.3 19.9 94,347 147,924 -36.2

GM/Cadillac have not released the vehicle by vehicle report yet, or commented on its availability.

Car sales were off 9%, while Truck / SUV sales were up 34%; net for Cadillac is 10% sales growth.

GM Car Deliveries by Marketing Division
2009 2008 %Chg Volume %Chg per S/D 2009 2008 %Chg Volume
Buick Total 5,571 5,220 6.7 16.0 52,322 86,201 -39.3
Cadillac Total 4,447 4,879 -8.9 -0.9 56,487 98,079 -42.4
GM Light Truck Deliveries by Marketing Division
2009 2008 %Chg Volume %Chg per S/D 2009 2008 %Chg Volume
Buick Total 3,056 2,296 33.1 44.7 37,747 42,087 -10.3
Cadillac Total 5,274 3,936 34.0 45.6 37,860 49,845 -24.0

The likely star for Cadillac November sales is the 2010 Cadillac SRX

Cadillac SRX 2010

Cadillac SRX 2010

BMW meanwhile reported mixed results, pulled down mainly by poor Mini Sales:

BMW Group also reported a November U.S. sales decline of 7.6 percent although the sales of its sports activity vehicles increased 11.5 percent. The X5 sports activity vehicle soared 41 percent during the month while the advanced diesel model accounted for a quarter of all the X5 sales during the month.

The X5 and X6 sports activity coupe, which experienced an increase in sales of 7.8 percent, are produced by BMW Manufacturing Co. at its Greer facility. The X3 SAV sales plummeted 64.2 percent in November. Production of the first generation of that vehicle is phasing out and production will be moved to the Greer facility next year.

Sales of BMW brand vehicles increased 3.2 percent to 15,709 in November compared with 15,217 a year ago. The Mini brand, however, sank 43.6 percent for the month.

Other US Sales reports for Luxury / Performance Cars Nov 2009:

Lexus: 18,500 up 14%

GM Luxury Sales: 8,627 Buick + 9,721 Cadillac: 18,348

Daimler AG: 16,797 up 19%

BMW: 15,709 up 3%

Lincoln: 6,409 down 20%

Porsche: 1,626 up 18%

October Sales Report