Reliability is FINE (Fix it NOW! Emergency!)

Why isn’t Cadillac or GM’s vehicle reliability better than it is?  Okay, Cadillac has been having good survey results in initial and four-year quality.  I get that quality and reliability have improved, and that they are near the top of the automobile industry.  But why aren’t they better than they are?

Cadillac’s Dealers are independent operations.  Every warranty repair on every GM vehicle is entered into the Dealer database, so that a claim can be made to GM for the warranty repair.  These warranty repairs cost GM Millions of dollars a year in lost, wasted cost, and decreased customer satisfaction.

Why can’t GM simply analyze this warranty data, determine what parts are having reliability problems, change the design or the supplier, and have reliable parts?

The warranty database currently has information from various sources. The PRTS+ database has information that the GM engineers have entered with regards to problems that they have detected. The QWIK database has problems that dealership mechanics have entered with regards to customer complaints and their root cause of a single vehicle.

But THINK about the systems that we have available in Cadillacs right now.  The vehicles themselves have thorough self-diagnostics.  They also have snapshot capability, as well as GPS and OnStar satellite communication.  The second a diagnostic trouble code goes off in any Cadillac anywhere in the world, a signal should be sent via OnStar, and a red light and warning siren should sound at the Cadillac factory at Lansing Grand River.  Immediately the cause of the problem should be diagnosed, identified, and resolved.

OnStar:  “This is OnStar. We have detected a problem with your vehicle; is that correct?”

Customer:  “Uh, I see a red light on the dash, yeah”

OnStar:  “Thank you.  I have made a reservation at the nearest Cadillac Dealer. I am downloading the turn by turn navigation to get you there.  I have alerted them that you are enroute, and your Service Expert will be Michelle.  She is awaiting your arrival.  I have a Cadillac Engineer standing by to review the Technician’s report as soon as it is ready, and we will get you on your way.  Do you want me to stay on the line while you drive to the Dealer?”

This 52 page thesis from Jelani Ellington for MIT in 2005 addressed some internal roadblocks that GM has that keep it from harvesting the flow of valuable information: [Thesis paper]

GM’s approach:

Engineers at GM pull data from the warranty database to see failure trends. This warranty is segregated by vehicle line. The warranty data is further segregated via labor codes. The data is then placed in two Pareto charts. One chart is based upon cost per vehicle (CPV) while the other chart is based upon incidents per thousand vehicles (IPTV). The charts are then used to determine which vehicle warranty problem to work on first. There is no one method that is used across the organization. Some vehicle lines use cost per vehicle to work on problems first whereas other use incidents per thousand vehicles to determine which problems to address first. The only common thread is that all vehicle lines place safety issues above either cost or frequency.

Fail: This process seems to have FAIL written throughout.  It lacks immediacy, and depends on the Customer experiencing the problem, debating it with the Dealer, and many customers together becoming dissatisfied before an issue gels together to be bad enough for the Engineers to identify it months later as a problem.  FAIL.

Success: Every time a problem comes up in every car, a light should go off at Cadillac and an on-call Engineer respond.

Once the management team decides which failure to be worked on, GM assigns a warranty engineer to fix the problem.

Fail:  only fix things after you make a lot of customers unhappy

Success: fix every customer’s problem

After the failure is found, the engineers use the RedX procedure. Engineers are given 30 days to root cause an assigned failure.

During the solution phase of a problem, the warranty engineer informs the Designing Engineer of the root cause of the problem. The design engineer then, likewise, has up to 30 days to come up with a solution to the problem.

Implementation is the part of the process where the solution is carried out. Implementation time varies greatly. Implementation time can be of a very short duration or can span a period until the next model year.

The final phase of the PRTS+ process is feedback. Feedback is due no later then 180 days after implementation. Feedback is design to close the loop and make sure that the new design is working properly or to maximum efficiency.

Fail: no immediacy; every 30 days Cadillac will have sold another 15K vehicles, and enraged another group of Customers

Success:  This step is what engineers do BEST.  Identify the problem to them, and let them analyze it.  But move the Engineers back up to the START of the problem.

In the current GM Warranty system, “a minimum of 92 days will pass before a problem that a customer experiences becomes known at General Motors“.  FAIL.

At General Motors, design engineers do not have access to the warranty database. FAIL.

If all diagnostic trouble codes that were set on any GM vehicle, along with a DTC snapshot, were reported automatically to a central database, the Reliability Engineers can cut months and Customer frustration out of the picture.  “Ninety percent of General Motors’ warranty problems are solved by reproducing the failure with GM vehicles or in GM plants.”  Give the Warranty Engineers the info on what faults are happening, in real time as they happen.

The paper concludes:

There exists a wide variety of time to discover defects in the field. Reducing the measurable standard deviation of time from introduction of a vehicle to the field to assigning engineer for root cause of a problem to implementation of the solution is the key to solving the problem. There is not real time data transfer from the field to the corporation. If this link did exist, the corporation could fix these problems almost as soon as they occurred instead of months later. To successfully fix the issues, General Motors must become a part of the global telematics market and increase its capability to receive live data. General Motors must also work on their internal issues and conflicts as well. General Motors must also think holistically when solving its problems. General Motors tunnel vision approach to warranty obviously is not working. Warranty elimination is a process that must be a corporate-wide issue and not a departmental or organizational issue. If General Motors is to survive and thrive in the coming decades, then they must minimize their mean time to failure discovery for the sake of warranty costs, which go directly to the bottom line, and for the sake of perceived quality.

Operate as an agile, responsive organization.  Give the Engineers the real-time information they need, then them loose and let make the great cars they are capable of making.

Re: W.Pa. ‘gearhead’ styles for GM – ATS Rumor

Nice local boy makes good article here about GM Designer Dave Ross: W.Pa. ‘gearhead’ styles for GM – Pittsburgh Tribune-Review.

My favorite part:

“I recently took a tour of the Warren design center with (GM vice president, Global Design) Ed Welburn, and we saw everything out through 2014,” said John Wolkonowicz, auto analyst at IHS Global Insight in Lexington, Mass. “GM is doing absolutely fantastic design work.”

Wolkonowicz signaled out one model of the 2013 model year Cadillac he and his IHS colleagues have dubbed the ATS. Due out in mid-2012, the Cadillac will be the size of a BMW 3-series, and styled and given the performance to compete with that vehicle, acknowledged as the world’s best selling luxury car.

I am (as always) ready for the ATS to be out now now now, but good to hear more rumors on when it actually WILL arrive.  Previously we thought the ATS would arrive in 2012 or 2013, so this is right in line.

Please see our ATS / Alpha coverage.

Cadillac has not said the vehicle would be called the ATS yet, but the press has been using that as a likely name.  The new 270hp  3L (LF1) premium DI V6 seems a natural powerplant for the ATS, but I would also like to see an up-power option.

CTS 3L Direct Injection V6

CTS 3L Direct Injection V6

Original Article referenced: W.Pa. ‘gearhead’ styles for GM – Pittsburgh Tribune-Review.

Cadillac Converj – is it a Cadillac Volt?

Recently I posted a Cadillac Converj Catchup article for those of you not keeping up with developments.  Also, you can check the index for any articles that address Converj here.  The Converj will use a similar Voltec powertrain, (formerly knows as E-flex), and base chassis as the upcoming Chevrolet Volt, but will be specified, built, and tuned for Luxury Performance as a Cadillac.

We know that the Converj will look like this on the outside:

Cadillac Converj Concept Introduction at 2009 NAIAS

Bob Lutz with Cadillac Converj Prototype

And it should be noted that this design has proven very popular as a path for Cadillac, so we may see the same design influences on other models.

But what about underneath the skin? Here is the Voltec Powertrain that is being pioneered on the Chevrolet Volt and will be featured in a tuned, Luxury Performance variant in the upcoming Cadillac Converj:

Cadillac Converj Chassis & Powertrain

Voltec Chassis & Powertrain

So is the Converj just a Cadillac version of the Volt? Yes and no.

  • They will share the Voltec powertrain. They will both be extended range electric vehicles.
  • The Converj may or may not use the same engine as the Volt for extended range operation — the Converj may get a more premium power unit.
  • The Converj may carry more battery reserves than the Volt, and have a longer electric-only range.
  • The Converj may be tuned electronically to be a more sporting performer than the Volt.
  • Finally, the interior appointments and standard equipment level for the Converj will mirror the accoutrements that Cadillac owners have come to expect.

It will be the Cadillac of Extended Range Electric Vehicles.